Dry air has been the main culprit inhibiting the support of convection around the LLC, and that is continuing. The flare in the NE quardrant was unable to be drawn completely around the center and virtually evaporated as it reached the west side. That environment is going to change however as the environment is supporting increasing moisture on the west side which is coming up from the south. soon the circulation may be more centrally located in the moisture envelope and further development may begin. This could then allow the system to grow in size enough to be drawn to the NW. As this is taking place the system continues more westerly than forecast, and the dynamic of the ridge in the SE conus is changing. One comentator I read a couple of hours ago stated the ridge is expanding eastward beyond forecast limits. These two issues combined may lead to a more westerly than forecast track for a while longer. Just about everything on this system is still to be determined.