MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Thu Aug 04 2011 02:59 AM
Re: Current Model Swath

Repost of 11PM Update to the main page here:

al forecast, but they are quickly lowering.

From the official 11PM discussion:

"If a northward component of motion does not begin soon... or the track guidance shifts father to the left in future cycles... The threat to Florida and the southeastern United States will increase."

Emily may be going at another run of strengthening, in the last vortex message from recon, they spotted rapid thunderstorm development in the southeastern side of the system.

A gradual trend toward the west has been the trend all day, see the forecast lounge for more details (Or the model links at the bottom of the main page).

Unfortunately for Haiti, they will likely receive 6 to 12 inches of rainfall, which is extremely dangerous in that environment.

The next set of models run (0z) will have data from the NOAA Gulfstream 'Gonzo' jet that sampled the atmosphere to the north of Emily.

There are no changes in the watches/warnings. A new full official update will come tomorrow morning at 5AM EDT. This site will also be updated tomorrow morning with new information



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