weathernet
(Storm Tracker)
Thu Aug 04 2011 01:49 AM
Re: Current Location

Those of us who have either professionally forecasted, studied and tracked tropical cyclones , or chased and filmed their landfalls can really empathise with those at NHC for the ability to remain objective and avoid getting "punch drunk" over the ups and down's of storms such as Emily. This storm really takes the cake for one of the longest ongoing Tropical Contradictions. This might be the first system that if a clear eye suddenly appear on IR, that many will simply question ...where is the "real" center!? Will be anxious to find what pressure, location fix, and forward motion from the upcoming recon.

On a sidenote, given the early 0Z GFS run, I cannot help but be somewhat skeptical as too "how much" of the NOAA Gulfstream data actually made it into the 0Z run. Would be nice to get some sense of clarification.



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