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NHC likes the Sat presentation of the system compared to yesterday at this time.. I agree.. but not from 12hrs ago. I think the pressure is very generous at 1004mb until recon goes in. I would think it's at 1007-1008mbs. I'm hesitant also on putting up TS watches for Florida (till 5pm report)..after all..a TS Watch is just that.. A Watch would mean conditions could support a TS in that area within 60hrs. (if I can remember the change from 48-60 now.. Anyways..cant wait for next recon. |