JMII
(Weather Master)
Fri Aug 05 2011 05:50 PM
Re: Emily Moving West Northwest

23 / 79 is where I saw a mini spin, but the whole area has a large rotation to it, with several smaller spins embedded inside at various levels. If any of these can get their act together Emily might reform, but...

Quote:

others only develop a weak system east of Florida




I think this is the key statement. Anything that develops out of this area will be very weak and most likely too far north to have any real impact. There is still plenty of shear out there so don't expect much to occur till that dies off (tomorrow?). Emily's entire life the convection was sheared (mostly to the SE) and that trend continues. Ironically to me it looks like the remaining blob of moisture is following the NHC last track guidance fairly well.



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