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There is a hint of a developing circulation at some level near 15N 71W at 16/03Z. Movement has been to the west and should continue to be westward for a day or so. Steering current analysis from SSEC suggest that the system will slow down as it enters a col area in the western Caribbean Sea. An area of light southerly shear ahead of the system is moving westward and a large area of dry air is still evident in the western half of the Caribbean Sea. SST is about 28.5C so chances for additional development should slowly increase. ED |