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MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1135 AM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011 (edited~danielw) RELEASING EARLY TO UPDATE WARNINGS... ...N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC S OF 22N W OF 55W... PER NHC GUIDANCE...TS IRENE OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN FORECAST TO MOVE NW ACROSS THE NE CARIBBEAN TONIGHT INCREASING TO A MINIMAL HURCN BEFORE REACHING HISPANIOLA MON MORNING...MAINTAIN TS STRENGTH AS IT DISSECTS HISPANIOLA REACHING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TUE...MOVE ALONG THE NE COAST OF CUBA TUE NIGHT...THEN REGAIN MINIMAL HURRICANE STRENGTH WED IN FL STRAITS BEFORE MOVING INLAND S FL MIDDAY THU. UNCERTAINTY OF COURSE IS THE EXACT TRACK AND DETERIORATION DUE TO LANDMASS ENCOUNTERS. OTHERWISE A RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FROM BERMUDA TO CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. |