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Looking at the sat loops, it appears that Irene is wobbling along a generally WNW track - Jog to the NW followed by a jog to the W, repeat. At any rate, the interactions with Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and potentially Cuba will likely keep the system weak. Depending on a turn to a more northerly direction - when and where - I don't see a chance for strengthening much unless Irene goes over the Bahamas and stays East of Florida. |