Hugh
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Sun Aug 21 2011 02:22 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Irene Enters the Northeastern Caribbean Sea

Looks like the recon took the "look out the window, guys" viewpoint.
While the last vortex fix showed a due northwest shift in the LLC... the radar appears to me to still show an almost due west motion of the apparently circulation. This could just be my eyes, but it could indicate that the radar is showing a MLC which is not well stacked with the LLC. The most recent visible image, however, appears to show an eye-like pinhole where I estimate that the LLC is (could be dry air - water vapor image shows dry air in the southern part of the circulation).
I think it's a bit early to tell much of anything from the possible short-term northward shift, though. It could shift back to the west in a few hours.



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