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So my question for the night after the stunning development of her rapid intensification to Category 2 status is: Which models predicated that because they would be the ones I'd give more attention to... Rarely do you see a storm intensify while it is partially over land and she looks better now than she did a few hours ago. There is a big difference between a Category 2 in the Bahamas and a Category 3 and am wondering if those models that showed her being a Category 4 (GFDL for one, but I think there was another) might not be totally off. The power of a hurricane, a major hurricane, is a humbling thing and in itself it can often change the environmental factors driving it. She has a lot of warm, very warm water to run across and am seriously obsessing too much on how strong she can be in the Bahamas. No matter who gets her up the line... this is going to be a dangerous storm for Nassau... |