typhoon_tip
(Meteorologist)
Tue Aug 23 2011 06:48 PM
Re: Hurricane Irene Moving Away from Hispaniola


Persons up the Eastern Seaboard including, if perhaps particularly New England really need to start monitoring this system.

This is a bit of an anomalous set up in that some of the better deep layer mechanics for intensification actually exist (per modeling) as the system is lifting N along the Gulf Stream. The collocation of those circumstances make intensity along a guidance-converged track consensus uncertain. A lot of these guidance that show intensification in that region of it prognosticated track have a basis in synoptic reasoning.