danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Fri Aug 26 2011 09:16 AM
Re: Irene Surge Forecasts

Hurricane Local Statement
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA edited~danielw

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 8 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...
RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING
INCLUDE NORFOLK...VIRGINIA BEACH...COROLLA...OCEAN CITY...
WACHAPREAGUE...AND AREAS ADJACENT TO THE CHESAPEAKE BAY. THE MOST
LIKELY PERIOD OF IMPACT WILL BE DURING THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...
SATURDAY EVENING.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM COASTAL
FLOODING. THE CONCERN IS FOR THE CHANCE OF MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING
TO OCCUR IN AREAS WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE...RESULTING IN DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING. IF REALIZED...PEOPLE WITHIN THE
THREATENED AREAS WHO FAIL TO HEED OFFICIAL EVACUATION ORDERS WILL
NEEDLESSLY PLACE THEIR LIVES IN DANGER. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE
FOR THOSE STAYING BEHIND IN VULNERABLE LOCATIONS SUCH AS HOMES
AND BUSINESSES NEAR THE SHORE...AND ONE STORY DWELLINGS IN FLOOD-
PRONE AREAS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.

8 TO 12 INCHES OF STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND
SECTIONS OF EASTERN VIRGINIA AND THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN
SHORE. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND
BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING RAINS OCCUR.

Time Sensitive Information;

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?...&glossary=1