MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Wed Aug 31 2011 07:04 PM
Re: Watching Katia and an Area in the Northwestern Caribbean

This gulf system is a slow mover, hybrid like, and going to be extremely difficult to forecast. The northern to northwest Gulf seems most likely spot, intensity is hard to say (a bit of shear will probably keep it from gaining too quickly). But likely being a slow mover could bring lots of rain (not necessarily to Texas, though).

Even if this system doesn't develop tropically, it may rain quite a bit (GFS model is projecting around 2FT) along parts of the northern Gulf.




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