In the here and now winds aloft are not favorable for development as a strictly tropical system; there is an axis of 30+ knots along a west to east line out ahead of the system. I need a bottle of aspirin to layout all the possibilities of a subtropical system with a long wave trough along the Eastern Seaboard and two upper ridges; unfortunately editing and re-typing my history and ethics classes trumps this system tonight. Katia...is simply too far out to put any faith in the models; however I did note that slight more westward bend to the left right at the end of the 5 day track.