Random Chaos
(Weather Analyst)
Thu Sep 01 2011 01:02 AM
Re: Watching Katia in the Central Atlantic and Invest 93L in the Gulf

NHC is giving the western Gulf system a 60% chance of developing within the next two days. Everyone keep an eye on this system.

Just a quick model note on this storm: GFS is keeping this as a significant system (Tropical Storm or better) playing bumper cars with the gulf coast for over 8 days, bouncing it's way from Louisiana to the Florida panhandle, hitting land around once a day, before finally heading inland! I sure hope this model is very wrong! Other models are also showing a bit of bouncing, some sending it west, others east. There is a very large, strong ridge that is forecast to move north of this system about the time it heads to land which is what will keep it mostly offshore.



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