Joeyfl
(Weather Guru)
Wed Aug 31 2011 11:08 PM
Re: Watching Katia in the Central Atlantic and Invest 93L in the Gulf

93L looks to be a real menace for the Gulf coast. I do not see any sign of low level center with it more mid level it appears right now. Buoy data has not shown any kind of drop but instead rising pressures in area. I see this taking about 48 hours or so before we see depression/maybe storm. Models are not very helpful and with no center yet I dont think they can be used. Global models continue to develop as does 0z NAM which deepens to around 990-992mb as it hugs LA coast. 18z GFS has storm about same strength and hugs North central Gulf coast then crawls east and landfall and races northward from central/eastern FL panhandle. The 12z CMC stays meanders the TX coast, Nogaps hugs and meanders the north central Gulf coast. as well. Its hard to say what will come as it seems to get caught in very weak steering for possibly several days.


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