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HURRICANE KATIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011 1100 AM AST MON SEP 05 2011 KATIA APPEARS TO HAVE GONE THROUGH AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT AND NOW HAS A 30 N MI WIDE EYE SURROUNDED BY A RELATIVELY NARROW BAND OF THE COLDEST CLOUD TOPS. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE RISEN TO T5.0 FROM TAFB AND SAB...AND THE OBJECTIVE NUMBERS ARE AT T5.5. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS THEREFORE BEING RAISED TO 95 KT.... ...DUE TO THE EYEWALL REPLACEMENT...IT APPEARS THAT THE WIND FIELD HAS EXPANDED A BIT...AND THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE ANALYSIS AND FORECAST. |