Interesting that those models are trending northward when earlier in the day they had the storm tucked down there mostly in the Straits of Florida hovering on the north coast of Cuba.

http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/picservice.asp?t=m&m=18

I know each model will change. Better data as to the upper atmospheric patterns, strength of the ridge and frontal boundary would help get a forecast with a higher confidence further out in the forecast period. As Florida is in the sights of the 5 day that would be good.

Also, curious how long she will continue her westward movement.