It is important to remember not to be fooled by satellite alone. We have seen dramatic imagery in the past show comparatively weakly closed circulation in the llvs upon RECON fixes. RECON is scheduled for Monday afternoon.

Having said that ... the TW currently does show significant cyclonic twirl, and there is a deep convective feature near the center persisting. That certainly is not hurting prospects.

Currently upper level wind analysis suggests general divergent motion over the TW.

SAL does not appear to be a limiting factor at the present time. Not including SAL, there is a lot of dry air surrounding, but the weakness of the system at this time does not appear to be actively ingesting this air mass. As far as the SAL component of this, it seems to be eroding away as the TW moves west. This type of system would benefit from remaining compact until it gets west of ~55W.