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Looks precariously close to dissolving into an open wave through satellite observation. There are cold cloud top convective plumes still prevalent, it's just that the cyclonic "appearance" is less convincing at the moment. Note: Climatologically, this part of the eastern Caribbean tends to be tough on younger TC's, for whatever physical processes aside. If perhaps that is playing out here, seeing some degeneration does have a bit of a statistical precedence. For one thing, TCs tend to struggle when they are moving so quickly. Perhaps TCs in this lat/lon tend to be fast movers. Whatever the reason, SAL, OHC, and shear do not appear to be negative factors. In any case, relying on RECON, radar and surface obs are always better than the tendency for satellite presentations to tell giant lies... And likewise, these are still showing impressive signatures. |