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Both invests are now up to 80% chance of development over the next 5 days (Gulf invest is 70% for the next 2 days, the other 80%). The season sure got off to a slow start, but it now looks to be giving itself a kick. MJO is shifting strongly toward the Atlantic in virtually all forecast models. Ref: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/clivar_wh.shtml |