Random Chaos
(Weather Analyst)
Wed Aug 14 2013 09:20 PM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic

Both invests are now up to 80% chance of development over the next 5 days (Gulf invest is 70% for the next 2 days, the other 80%). The season sure got off to a slow start, but it now looks to be giving itself a kick. MJO is shifting strongly toward the Atlantic in virtually all forecast models.

Ref: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/clivar_wh.shtml