Brief comment based on the morning view from space. An upper level cyclonic flow is to the NW of this system and that seems increasing. A TUTT may be forming. There is no question that this has impacted the system and split the moisture envelope as the northern and eastern portion are now being shifted northward and the rest continues toward Belize. This type of set up has killed the previous two surface features coming up out of the Caribbean. The key today will be the influence of this dynamic on the future path and development of that surface low. Frankly I give it a low chance if that upper feature continues and virtually no chance if it strengthens.