doug
(Weather Analyst)
Fri Aug 16 2013 09:03 AM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic

Re: the TO for this morning: it is a puzzle for me to understand the high degree of probability for development of this system based on the current environment. It must be cautionary because there is definitely a low level circulation in the GOM. However, it is under very dry air aloft which should supress otherise norma convective activity...it is a stretch for 50-60% IMO.