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12:30 PM EDT Update 5 September 2013 Gabrielle has been downgraded to a depression, and her prospects look uncertain, at best. Tropical Storm Warnings have been discontinued. Ciel 10:45 PM EDT Update 4 September 2013 Tropical Storm Gabrielle has formed south of Puerto Rico. Tropical Storm Warnings are up for all of Puerto Rico and eastern parts of the Dominican republic. Land interaction and other factors will likely keep Gabrielle a Tropical Storm, and the forecast track keeps it well east of the mainland US. 3:45 PM EDT Update 4 September 2013 After weeks of little activity in the tropics the wave southeast of Puerto Rico, 97L looks to be giving it a go for organization and may become a depression or storm tonight or early tomorrow. Those in Puerto Rico and the Virigin Islands (and other nearby islands) will likely see heavy rainfall and stormy conditions. Most models keep the system well east of the US beyond this. Recon is currently investigating the area, and the state and existance of the low level circulation center is what will likely be the determining if this is upgraded tonight or not. Based on what recon has found so far, it could be upgraded sooner rather than later. Original Update After traveling across the tropical Atlantic for over a week, a tropical wave attained better organization on Saturday and was designated as Invest 97L. Although conditions are currently less than ideal for near-term development, in a few days, as the system moves closer to the Greater Antilles, windshear will decrease and the chances for additional development should increase. This will likely be a slow moving and slow developing system. ED {{StormCarib}} Caribbean Islands Weather Reports {{StormLinks|Gabrielle|07|7|2013|07|Gabrielle Remnants}} {{StormLinks|99L|99|8|2013|99|Invest 99L}} |