Recon is flying through 97L now and is presently verifying westerly winds. It's possible we see an upgrade today, and also equally possible that we do not. Most likely, NHC's decision will hang on how well defined the LLC is, given that there is marginal convection .. earlier in the week we had a closed circulation with associated shower and thunderstorm activity, at times abundant, but the circulation was broad, and ultimately opened back up more or less far too quickly to count. Then the showers and storms fell apart in rapid succession.

Lowest pressures so far being found appear to be about 1010mb, with winds generally at or below 25 knots.

Edit: Latest odds given by NHC at 1:59PM EDT were 50%, but closer inspection of the most recent passes (recon is now flying through the southern portions of 97L), coupled with high res satellite loops, leads me to believe the chances for an upgrade today are probably closer to 75%.