Dry air from the north has been entrained into the system and it certainly has taken its toll on the convection this evening. The center, which stalled for about six hours earlier today, may have dissipated - I certainly can't locate anything at the 30/00Z position of 29.6N 77.6W. The center may be redeveloping further to the south. A new western rainband is forming and lightning can be seen to the east of Melbourne. Future development of this system (if any) is going to be a slow process. Its worth noting that the ridge has moved far enough to the east so that the influx of dry air has been shut down. ED
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