typhoon_tip
(Meteorologist)
Mon Jun 30 2014 10:41 PM
Re: Watching Area East of Melbourne (91L)


Concur with Ed. In fact ... I logged in to make a similar statement. Pending some form of confirmation by RECON, it does appear that the earlier perceived axis of rotation has decayed; furthermore, may be in the process of relocating S. Some "twist" does appear to be taking place in the mid-levels, and just in the very recent two hours there appears to be a subtle uptick in convection along 27th parallel.

Judging by other cloud elements in motion there still appears to be some shear impacting from the N. Be that as it may, a lot of guidance types attempt to deepen this system, taking it precariously close (though in what form remains to be seen) to the eastern seaboard from NE Florida to SE New England, depending on which guidance is used. Definitely something to keep and eye on ...



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