Random Chaos
(Weather Analyst)
Thu Jul 03 2014 09:18 PM
Re: Hurricane Arthur Heading Toward Coastal North Carolina Forecast to be a Category 2

I am looking at the CMISS ADT info and the raw numbers are strong:

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/odt01L.html

Code:
  
                CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
                5.2 / 961.4mb/ 94.8kt

     
             Final T#  Adj T#  Raw T# 
                5.2     5.8     5.8


This storm looks to be strengthening. Lets hope it makes that northeastward track that is forecast, but it is running out of time. It has consistently been west of guidance all day today.

We have 3 recons that have recently been in the storm. Last central pressure reported was 977mb, but that was several hours ago, before the latest burst of organization.


Edit: NHC left the storm at 80kt initial intensity based on the recent recon.


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