| cieldumort |
| (Moderator) |
| Thu Jul 31 2014 09:42 PM |
|
Re: Persistent Invest 93L Remains on the Cusp
|
Vortex message from Recon a little while ago confirms a closed surface circulation with maximum winds of about 40-45 MPH. If 93L doesn't open up into nothing more than a vigorous wave, which it may very well end up doing if convection doesn't begin building back up, and soon, then odds favor Tropical Storm Bertha being declared prior to its passage through or by the Antilles.
Some of the key stats from the Vortex
Time of Center Fix: 31st day of the month at 19:59:50Z
Center Fix Location: 417 miles (671 km) to the ESE (103°) from Bridgetown, Barbados
Maximum Surface Wind: 40kts (~ 46.0mph)
Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1007mb (29.74 inHg) - Extrapolated
Maximum Flight Level Temp Outside Eye: 23°C (73°F)
Maximum Flight Level Temp Inside Eye: 25°C (77°F)
In addition to the WC-130 which penetrated the center multiple times, the Gulfstream (G-IV) has been sampling the air all around 93L today. Combined, the data from both of these missions will be fed into the models and coming runs should be much better for it.