(Verified CFHC User)

Mon Aug 07 2017 07:54 PM

Re: Franklin in the W Caribbean and 99L Problems

Latest center fix comes with more reliable SFMR data which could barely support an initial intensity of 50 kts... but the overall satellite appearance is such that I would set the initial intensity at a more conservative 45 kts. Especially since the last Dvorak fix at 17:45 was 3.0/45 kts, and cloud tops have continually warmed/convection near the center has been disrupted by some dry air entrainment as noted above.

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