Sorry cieldumort, but I wanted to verify how the storm surge is being calculated now? Is it using a straight ESTIMATION of the surge or does it include NOAA buoy information as well? With or without, since Harvey is going to be spinning up so quickly, I'm predicting less storm surge as it'll have less time really push the surf.

That's one thing that doesn't seem to be included enough in almost every forum is plotting using direct NOAA buoy data. I'd love to be able to have every 5 square miles by 5 square miles calculations because it'd add a whole ton of tracking information.

Once you saw it hop over the Yucatan with those SST's and lack of sheer you could see it was going to really spin up.

The latest of 980mb barometer is going to make it a time version anything keeping it out to sea which isn't much at this point. Thankfully not enough to create a large a gigantic wind/storm surge field.

Does anyone think that the NHC is really protecting the movement to drop awfully fast once it hits land? If so it's going to drop an ungodly amount of rain(I see this more dangerous than storm surge) if mid to high-level sheer stalls once it lands.