cieldumort
(Moderator)
Mon Sep 18 2017 07:24 PM
Re: Dangerous Hurricanes Maria & Jose

Quote:

Question: doesn't the organization and very compact eye/center imply an even larger hurricane to come?




A small eye is not a stable situation for a hurricane, but as of yet, there aren't any outer bands showing enough wrap-around to suggest an ERC is close to imminent. As such, in the near term, Maria may intensify into a mega-tight Cat 5, or even high-end 5. Assuming a replacement cycle begins at some point, the wind field would expand, and the process would likely repeat itself.


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