Current recon mission (it's now 3:42 AST), supports the idea that Florence may be Cat 2. Also see the Lounge for some screenshots of earlier buoy reports with very stout gusts.
Quote:
Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC) Transmitted: 14th day of the month at 6:15Z Agency: United States Air Force Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF96-5302 Storm Number & Year: 06 in 2018 Storm Name: Florence (flight in the North Atlantic basin) Mission Number: 17 Observation Number: 03
A. Time of Center Fix: 14th day of the month at 5:52:50Z B. Center Fix Coordinates: 34.05N 77.17W B. Center Fix Location: 44 statute miles (71 km) to the ESE (106°) from Wilmington, NC, USA. C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,723m (8,934ft) at 700mb D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 956mb (28.23 inHg) E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 320° at 6kts (From the NW at 7mph) F. Eye Character: Open in the east G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 28 nautical miles (32 statute miles) H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 73kts (84.0mph) I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 8 nautical miles to the SW (233°) of center fix at 5:50:30Z J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 316° at 73kts (From the NW at 84.0mph) K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 16 nautical miles (18 statute miles) to the SW (231°) of center fix at 5:48:30Z L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 84kts (96.7mph) M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 45 nautical miles (52 statute miles) to the NE (50°) of center fix at 6:06:30Z N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 143° at 100kts (From the SE at 115.1mph) O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 51 nautical miles (59 statute miles) to the NE (50°) of center fix at 6:08:00Z P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 12°C (54°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,037m (9,964ft) Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,055m (10,023ft) R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 13°C (55°F) R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature S. Fix Levels (surface & flight level centers within 5nm of each other): Surface and 700mb T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles T. Meteorological Accuracy: 2 nautical miles
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 100kts (~ 115.1mph) which was observed 51 nautical miles (59 statute miles) to the NE (50°) from the flight level center at 6:08:00Z Maximum Flight Level Temp: 18°C (64°F) which was observed 7 nautical miles to the NE (43°) from the flight level center
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