cieldumort
(Moderator)
Wed Sep 26 2018 02:37 PM
Re: Atlantic Revs Back Up - And Getting Closer to Land

The 2PM Intermediate Advisory set Kirk's winds at a possibly conservative 60 MPH. This cyclone is undergoing a healthy rate of deepening today, going from an estimated1004mb while the plane was approaching, to 998mb during the last pass though the center.

Microwave passes show clear evidence of an incipient eye, not yet apparent in conventional satellite.

The last pass though Kirk's center also supports potential for an eye to form today, with a very impressive warm core already in place.

Quote:

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 26th day of the month at 17:41Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF97-5305
Storm Number & Year: 12 in 2018
Storm Name: Kirk (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 1
Observation Number: 20

A. Time of Center Fix: 26th day of the month at 17:23:00Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 12.53N 54.79W
B. Center Fix Location: 327 statute miles (526 km) to the E (97°) from Bridgetown, Barbados.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,425m (4,675ft) at 850mb
D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 999mb (29.50 inHg)
E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 205° at 9kts (From the SSW at 10mph)
F. Eye Character: Not Available
G. Eye Shape: Not Available
H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 42kts (48.3mph)
I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 78 nautical miles (90 statute miles) to the SE (127°) of center fix at 16:59:30Z
J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 161° at 53kts (From the SSE at 61.0mph)
K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 98 nautical miles (113 statute miles) to the SE (130°) of center fix at 16:54:00Z
L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 51kts (58.7mph)
M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 19 nautical miles (22 statute miles) to the N (355°) of center fix at 17:29:30Z
N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 108° at 61kts (From the ESE at 70.2mph)
O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 36 nautical miles (41 statute miles) to the N (358°) of center fix at 17:34:30Z
P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 16°C (61°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,521m (4,990ft)
Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 24°C (75°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,537m (5,043ft)
R. Dewpoint Temp & Sea Surface Temp: Not Available
S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
S. Fix Levels (surface & flight level centers within 5nm of each other): Surface and 850mb
T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
T. Meteorological Accuracy: 3 nautical miles

Remarks Section:

Maximum Flight Level Wind: 61kts (~ 70.2mph) which was observed 47 nautical miles (54 statute miles) to the E (82°) from the flight level center at 17:34:30Z





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