Psyber
(Storm Tracker)
Mon Sep 02 2019 12:03 AM
Re: Category 5 Hurricane Dorian Grand Bahama Island

Quote:

Last recon pass shows 912mb, maybe a new vortex will clear it up, but otherwise it's deepening again.




Very little drop in intensity which is within fluctuation from the last tests by like 1% so if anything, this establishes that the sampling of the storm is spot on.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

Doesn't that just call the truth? A storm that's spent a ton of its life at 60-70NM wide with errors out to 175 NM and almost full category intensity changes in error.