Most recent recon fix finds Nestor rather hybrid. There is still time for the cyclone to become more fully tropical, and perhaps yet a hurricane, but time (water, mostly) is running out. Regardless, this is a powerful storm and people in its sphere of influence should take all watches and warnings seriously. The strongest winds, heaviest rains and potential for tornadoes remains well removed from the center, which are not reflected in this Vort. Quote:
Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 18th day of the month at 19:46Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF96-5301
Tropical Depression: Sixteen (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 2
Observation Number: 13
A. Time of Center Fix: 18th day of the month at 19:35:40Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 26.67N 89.32W
B. Center Fix Location: 233 statute miles (375 km) to the S (169°) from New Orleans, LA, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: Not Available
D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 999mb (29.50 inHg) - Extrapolated
E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center (Undecoded): NA
F. Eye Character: Not Available
G. Eye Shape: Not Available
H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 23kts (26.5mph)
I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 29 nautical miles (33 statute miles) to the ESE (119°) of center fix at 19:24:30Z
J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 234° at 25kts (From the SW at 28.8mph)
K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 30 nautical miles (35 statute miles) to the ESE (114°) of center fix at 19:23:00Z
L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 13kts (15.0mph)
M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 17 nautical miles (20 statute miles) to the WNW (302°) of center fix at 19:41:30Z
N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 31° at 15kts (From the NNE at 17.3mph)
O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 17 nautical miles (20 statute miles) to the WNW (302°) of center fix at 19:41:30Z
P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 24°C (75°F) at a pressure alt. of 398m (1,306ft)
Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 24°C (75°F) at a pressure alt. of 398m (1,306ft)
R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 22°C (72°F)
R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Wind and Pressure
S. Fix Level: 1,500 feet
T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
T. Meteorological Accuracy: 2 nautical miles
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Re: Tropical Storm Nestor in NE Gulf