(Moderator)

Fri Sep 08 2023 02:27 AM

Re: Heading into Peak With Eyes Wide Open

Lee appears to be encountering some shear overnight out of the southwest. This is easily made out in all IR and WV channels, with CIMSS analyzing about 17 knots southwesterly, and assigning just a neutral shear environment for further intensification.

Last recon pass through the NE eyewall found probably reliable SFMRs of up to 158 KTS with an averaging that could argue for 145-150 KTS sustained at the surface, along with some possible weakening of winds at higher altitudes.

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