MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Fri Sep 08 2023 11:52 AM
Re: Heading into Peak With Eyes Wide Open

Lee has hit a bit of shear that really wasn't shown by the models until recently, and it manifested on satellite by the eye becoming a lot less visible. it looks like it'll be a bit weaker today but has a chance to recover later tomorrow. My guess is today this size of Lee will expand and strengthening will resume tomorrow. Model confidence on a turn north is very strong, just differing on exactly when (Still well east of the Bahamas). Turn should start to be evident around 65W around Tuesday or Wednesday.

Track beyond the turn is anyone's guess as Margot will likely make it very difficult to trust.



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