As with PTC#8's impact on the North Carolina coast in mid-September, no-name hybrid low pressure systems when combined with stalled frontal boundaries and strong gradient winds during peak lunar tides can produce as much or more damage than a tropical storm or low-end hurricane.

Regardless of a tropical entity organizing somewhere in the NW Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico or Bay of Campeche, consistent modeling suggests there will be several periods of strong onshore NE/E flow starting next week along Florida's east coast from the Cape northward, with a prolonged flow of moisture streaming out of the Gulf across the south half of the peninsula producing localized amounts of up to a foot of rain about the same time monthly tides peak (October 12-20th).