Behind (formerly Cat 5) Hurricane Erin, the Atlantic basin is still primed for an active season, overall. While social mediarologists love to hype the extremes ("NO STORMS THIS YEAR!") ("WORST HURRICANE EVER THIS THIS!") for clicks, Flhurricane has and will always continue to play it straight.

2025 is still more favored than not to be above-average in terms of Names, Hurricanes, Majors and ACE. While not any guarantee, this simply means that the dice are arguably a little weighted to the bigger digits.

Near-term and closer to home:

Invest 99L probably already qualifies as a Tropical Storm. Awaiting the official NHC decision desk, but suffice it to say, we need to watch this one closer either way, as it starts at a much lower latitude than many others this season.

Invest 90L has been getting more press as the better candidate, but that only has been the case if 99L didn't pull it off soon enough. Both are more likely than not to get named. 99L could directly threaten the Caribbean. 90L could make a direct strike on Bermuda, potentially even as a Major. Time to take some initial preps if in these regions.

Deep-Dive Model Discussion Lounges
99L Forecast Lounge (Central Tropical Atlantic)

90L Forecast Lounge (Rounding Leewards)

Hurricane Erin Forecast Lounge

{{StormLinks|Erin|05|5|2025|5|Erin}}

{{StormLinks|99|99|6|2025|99|Invest 99L}}

{{StormLinks|90|90|7|2025|90|Invest 90L}}

{{NCCoastMedia}}

{{StormCarib}}

{{BermudaNews}}