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As of this morning, the system still appears to be undergoing quite a bit of shear with the relative LL center S/SE of Miami and the majority of the scattered convection over the Bahamas. The U of Wisconsin products are indicating that the shear decreases as the LL system moves Northeastward. Some development remains likely tomorrow when the LL system moves toward the NNE. The FSU model ensembles are indicating that development and generally taking it along the Atlantic coast toward New England. |