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Tropical wave with a convective flare-up near 17.8N 63.1W at 07/04Z is moving to the west northwest at about 10mph. Wave is bringing scattered heavy rainshowers to the Leeward Islands. Motion should become more northwesterly as the wave comes under the influence of a large upper level low to its northwest. I haven't really looked at the environment, but I would suspect only a slim chance for additional development. Cheers, ED |