allan
(Weather Master)
Fri May 04 2007 04:16 AM
NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm??

NOGAPS and other models predict either a sub-tropical or a pure tropical storm (maybe hurricane) developing in a few days in the Bahamas. This is interesting, I look at the NOGAPS and it shows it getting near hurricane strength, then dies out when it gets to Florida. GFS has it going to Bermuda and becoming extra-tropical. CMC model has it heading to the Carolinas as a strong TS, and the UKMET was the one who started it all, has it going to NY probably as a weak extra-tropical storm but hitting the Carolines as a strong TS or minimal Hurricane (according to the lowest pressure). May not even be tropical.. May just be a strong potent low off the Florida coastline.. still something to watch.
Heres the link to the very interesting NOGAPS
http://www.nwmangum.com/NOGAPS.phtml#120

Now here's the link to all the models that show this interesting scenario..
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

I really don't know what to say about it, I know its not all going to be a cold core storm. It's gonna be an interesting weekend. Feedback will be great!



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