Absolutely right.. all the models are hinting at a warm core system in either the GOM or off the east coast of Florida. The 12z NOGAPS has switched from GOM to the east coast, GFS has a very weak low off the east coast, NAM has a weak but nice spin near Tampa in the GOM, UKMET.. got to check it out first lol. I looked at the forecast windshear and it show that shear will decrease over the next 36-48 hours in the GOM but will be marginal off the east coast of Florida. So where will it be, GOM or east coast of FL? Lets just keep an eye out on it for now. I think the low is predicted to form out of the meso-cyclone in the southeast.