allan
(Weather Master)
Wed Jun 20 2007 09:54 PM
Re: Florida Low

Wind shear is not a problem wit this, 15-20 knots and lowering a bit more later on.. though it is a frontal low, remember that Beryl last year formed off the Carolinas coast. Maybe it could be tagged, but it needs convection and a tug off that front
I'll be monitering it for a while.. though i'm shocked at the NAM today, Hurricane crossing from the Pacific to the carribean then hitting Nicaragua? Well maybe a strong TS at that but isn't a pressure like 996 mlb close to a cat. 1 hurricane?
Here's the link to the 12z NAM in 30 hours.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/nam/12/images/nam_slp_030l.gif


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