danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Sat Jun 21 2008 12:03 AM
Re: ACTIVE T(R)OPICS

While there may not be a lot of discussion... which is slightly unusual here. There are plenty of us watching the waves as they move westward.
I've just spent the better part of 20 minutes looking at the satellite, buoy and radar data from the Eastern Caribbean.
While I'm sure that there is some wind shear present. The current VAD at San Juan,P.R. profile is showing a ESE wind at 25kts at both 4 and 5 thousand feet. While the winds above that altitude are less than 10 kts. Not indicative in itself but something to watch. Current Radar Cloud tops are at 51,000 ft near the 248nm periphery of the San Juan Radar. I did notice a wind flag at 4000 ft at 2300Z on the VAD of 40kts frrom the ENE.

The buoys are reflecting a tropical wave passage to some degree. Mainly in a wind heading change and an increase up to 23 kts gusting to 33 knots last hour ( 23Z).

And the waves do appear to be a slight bit better formed than they should be at this time of year. So relax and keep your eye on them. But don't forget to watch the other areas also.
The satellite photo at the top right corner of the page is the best place to keep a once-in-a-while peek at the inactive tropics. Once a system starts to spin up we will trim the sat shot down to the active area.



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