Ed in Va
(Weather Master)
Fri Sep 19 2008 02:19 PM
Re: North of Antigua

Today's HPC discussion on possible EC storm next week...maybe more of a northeaster than a tropical system:

THE ATLC COASTAL SIGNAL HAS BEEN SEEN FOR SEVERAL DAYS NOW PLACING
A 1035-1040 MB HIGH IN A POSITION TO PROVIDE NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS
IN THE WEST ATLC AND ALONG THE COAST ALONE. ALL MODELS AND
ENSEMBLES HAVE INDICATED SOME CYCLOGENESIS POSSIBLY EVEN A
SUBTROPICAL LOW. GFS SERIES HAS BEEN ON THE RIGHT SIDE OF THE
ENVELOPE WHILE CANADIAN AND DGEX HAVE BEEN MORE TO THE LEFT.
PREFERENCE IS TOWARD ECMWF/UKMET AND LATEST DGEX OF LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPING OFF THE GA COAST MOVING NWD TO ALONG THE MID ATLC COAST
LATE WEEK/NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING BRISK/STRONG ONSHORE WINDS
TO THE MID ATLC SOUTHEAST COAST TUES INTO FRIDAY AND NWD UP THE
COAST NEXT WEEKEND. THREAT OF GALE TO STORM FORCE COASTAL AND
OFFSHORE WINDS/PROLONGED PERIOD OF HIGH TIDES WITH ENHANCEMENT BY
NEW MOON PHASE/COASTAL FLOODING/BEACH EROSION/AND HEAVY COASTAL
RAINS. ABOVE AVERAGE CONFIDENCE FORECAST.