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NWSFO BMX made mention of the development of a surface low on the frontal boundary that is draped over the south. The front is to eventually be pushed to the northern GOM as a ridge over the central US builds south. Currently there is an upper low off the coast of FL and is expected to move west into the extreme eastern GOM. The 48 hour GFS at 12Z is depicting a surface low in the northern GOM. What has my attention is how plausible this is and the fact it is forecasted within the 5 day window which gives credibility that warrants looking at this evolving solution. I will have a better handle on this later this evening with the new 01/00Z package. |