Ed DunhamAdministrator
(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))
Sun Aug 15 2010 03:43 PM
The Upcoming West African Double Header

The longer range models have been developing a system or two in the far eastern Atlantic in a week to 10 days. Since the waves do exist over western and central Africa this seems like a good place to discuss them.

A small wave is over west Africa near 14N 10W at 15/18Z and it should exit the west coast of Africa on Tuesday morning. The atmosphere off the west African coast has been dried out somewhat by a SAL outbreak a couple of days ago, but currently the outbreak seems to be on the decline.

A second wave was located over central Africa near 10N 17E at 15/18Z. It is a larger well-structured system that should move off the west African coast toward the end of the week.

If the first system develops there is a good chance based on the persistent trough in the western Atlantic that it would stay out to sea, however, development is still not a firm bet and 10-day forecasts change frequently.

The purpose of the thread is to keep track of the systems - and NOT to encourage two-week speculations

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