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I agree - think 91L bears a great deal of watching, as not only is it an exceptionally vigorous tropical wave for the time of year, but also that conditions upstream, once it is "land-locked," look supportive of more development, and I could see tropical cyclogenisis occurring with this one potentially even before it crosses the Windwards, provided it stays over water. Recon now tentatively scheduled to check out both 91L & 92L 1030 AM EDT THU 28 OCTOBER 2010 SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD) VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z OCTOBER 2010 TCPOD NUMBER.....10-149 I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS 1. SUSPECT AREA (NEAR BERMUDA) FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70 A. 29/1800Z B. AFXXX 01JJA INVEST C. 29/1400Z D. 29.0N 65.5W E. 29/1730Z TO 29/2100Z F. SFC TO 10,000 FT 2. SUSPECT AREA (APPROACHING WINDWARD ISLANDS) FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71 A. 29/1800Z B. AFXXX 01KKA INVEST C. 29/1530Z D. 09.5N 57.0W E. 29/1730Z TO 29/2200Z F. SFC TO 10,000 FT 3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES ON SYSTEM NEAR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AT 30/1200Z NEAR 11N 62W. |